Darien, CT February 2026 Real Estate Market Report: Insights & Forecast
Assembled by: Judy Michaelis, 203-247-5000
Market Trends Report
Overview
The overview below shows real estate activity for January 2026. You will see data comparisons between January and the previous month, the last three months and January 2025.
| Overview | YTD Avg. | January | December | Oct. – Dec. | Jan. 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Listings | 7 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 |
| Average Sales Price per Square Foot | 774 | 774 | 710 | 810 | 710 |
| Average Days on Market | 56 | 56 | 26 | 38 | 53 |
| Number of Properties for Sale | 11 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 22 |
| Average List Price | $6,016,091 | $6,016,091 | $5,048,192 | $4,509,783 | $4,092,950 |
| Median List Price | $4,395,000 | $4,395,000 | $3,149,500 | $2,891,500 | $3,470,000 |
| Average Sales Price | $2,358,100 | $2,358,100 | $2,621,500 | $3,195,869 | $2,068,636 |
| Median Sales Price | $2,307,500 | $2,307,500 | $2,382,000 | $2,214,833 | $1,850,000 |
| Sales Price / List Price Ratio | 103.31% | 103.31% | 106.73% | 104.91% | 105.13% |
| Number of Properties Sold | 10 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 11 |
| Month’s Supply of Inventory | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.81 | 2.03 | 2 |
| Absorption Rate | 0.91 | 0.91 | 1.23 | 0.72 | 0.5 |
Average & Median Sales Price
The median sales price in January 2026 was $2,307,500, down -3.13% from $2,382,000 from the previous month and 24.73% higher than $1,850,000 from January 2025. The January 2026 median sales price was at a mid level compared to January 2025 and 2024. The average sales price in January 2026 was $2,358,100, down -10.05% from $2,621,500 from the previous month and 13.99% higher than $2,068,636 from January 2025. The January 2026 average sale price was at a mid level compared to January 2025 and 2024.
Sales Price / List Price Ratio
The sales price/list price ratio is the average sale price divided by the average list price for sold properties expressed as a percentage. If it is above 100%, homes are selling for more than the list price. If it is less than 100%, homes are selling for less than the list price. The January 2026 sales price/list price ratio was 103.31%, down from 106.73% from the previous month and down from 105.13% from January 2025.
Number of Properties Sold & Absorption Rate
The number of properties sold in January 2026 was 10, down -37.50% from 16 from the previous month and -9.09% lower than 11 from January 2025. The January 2026 sales were at a mid level compared to January 2025 and 2024. Absorption rate is the avg number of sales per month divided by the total number of available properties.
Average Days on Market
The average days on market (DOM) is the number of days a property is on the market before it sells. An upward trend in DOM tends to indicate a move towards a buyer’s market, a downward trend tends to indicate a move towards seller’s market. The DOM for January 2026 was 56 days, up 115.38% from 26 days from the previous month and 5.66% higher than 53 days from January 2025. The January 2026 DOM was at a mid level compared with January 2025 and 2024.
Average Sales Price per Square Foot
The average sales price per square foot is a more normalized indicator for the direction of property value. The sales price per square foot in January 2026 was $774, up 9.01% from $710 from the previous month and 9.01% higher than $710 from January 2025.
Inventory & MSI
The number of properties for sale in January 2026 was 11, down -15.38% from 13 from the previous month and -50.0% lower than 22 from January 2025. The January 2026 inventory was at its lowest level compared with January 2025 and 2024. A comparatively lower MSI is more beneficial for sellers while a higher MSI is better for buyers. The January 2026 MSI of 1.1 months was at its lowest level compared with January 2025 and 2024.
New Listings
The number of new listings in January 2026 was 7, up 600% from 1 from the previous month and -58.82% lower than 17 from January 2025. The January 2026 listings were at its lowest level compared to January 2025 and 2024.
Judy Michaelis
Prefer the quick version? Here's a snapshot of the January 2026 Darien Market Update:
🏠 Luxury pricing with mixed monthly trends – Median sales price at $2.31M, down 3% from December but up 25% year-over-year. Average sales price at $2.36M, down 10% monthly but up 14% yearly. Both at mid-level compared to historical data. Premium pricing at $774/sq ft, up 9% both monthly and yearly.
⏳ Market pace moderating – Average days on market jumped to 56 days, up 115% from December's ultra-fast 26 days, though still 6% faster than last year's 53 days. Mid-level pace historically.
📈 Ultra-low inventory crisis – Only 11 homes for sale, down 15% from last month and down 50% from last year. January 2026 inventory at lowest level ever recorded. Months supply at 1.1, also at record low.
📉 Sales volume declining – 10 homes closed, down 38% from December's 16, and down 9% from last year's 11. New listings at 7, up dramatically from December's single listing but down 59% year-over-year to lowest level historically.
What Buyers and Sellers Need to Know
✨ Sellers: Extreme seller's market with record-low 1.1-month supply, 0.91 absorption rate, homes selling 3% above asking, and 25% YoY price appreciation. Premium market conditions despite volume decline.
🔍 Buyers: Severe inventory shortage (-50% YoY) creates intense competition. However, 10% monthly price decline and longer DOM (up 115% MoM) suggest slight seasonal softening. Act strategically on rare opportunities.
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