Darien, CT March 2026 Real Estate Market Report: Insights & Forecast
Assembled by: Judy Michaelis, 203-247-5000
Market Trends Report
Overview
The overview below shows real estate activity from January 2026 to February 2026. You will see data comparisons between February and the previous month, the last three months and February 2025.
| Overview | YTD Avg. | February | January | Nov. – Jan. | Feb. 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Listings | 28 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 20 |
| Average Sales Price per Square Foot | 775 | 776 | 774 | 813 | 910 |
| Average Days on Market | 76 | 95 | 56 | 43 | 31 |
| Number of Properties for Sale | 36 | 21 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
| Average List Price | $4,875,139 | $4,572,810 | $5,177,467 | $4,751,445 | $4,259,160 |
| Median List Price | $3,287,000 | $3,075,000 | $3,499,000 | $3,137,000 | $4,490,000 |
| Average Sales Price | $2,575,925 | $2,793,750 | $2,358,100 | $3,285,527 | $3,148,333 |
| Median Sales Price | $2,550,625 | $2,793,750 | $2,307,500 | $2,309,000 | $2,567,500 |
| Sales Price / List Price Ratio | 107.78% | 112.25% | 103.31% | 104.81% | 98.14% |
| Number of Properties Sold | 12 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 6 |
| Month’s Supply of Inventory | 6 | 10.5 | 1.5 | 1.28 | 4.17 |
| Absorption Rate | 0.38 | 0.1 | 0.67 | 0.85 | 0.24 |
Average & Median Sales Price
The median sales price in February 2026 was $2,793,750, up 21.07% from $2,307,500 from the previous month and 8.81% higher than $2,567,500 from February 2025. The February 2026 median sales price was at its highest level compared to February 2025 and 2024. The average sales price in February 2026 was $2,793,750, up 18.47% from $2,358,100 from the previous month and -11.26% lower than $3,148,333 from February 2025. The February 2026 average sale price was at a mid level compared to February 2025 and 2024.
Sales Price / List Price Ratio
The sales price/list price ratio is the average sale price divided by the average list price for sold properties expressed as a percentage. If it is above 100%, homes are selling for more than the list price. If it is less than 100%, homes are selling for less than the list price. The February 2026 sales price/list price ratio was 112.25%, up from 103.31% from the previous month and up from 98.14% from February 2025.
Number of Properties Sold & Absorption Rate
The number of properties sold in February 2026 was 2, down -80.0% from 10 from the previous month and -66.67% lower than 6 from February 2025. The February 2026 sales were at its lowest level compared to February 2025 and 2024. Absorption rate is the avg number of sales per month divided by the total number of available properties.
Average Days on Market
The average days on market (DOM) is the number of days a property is on the market before it sells. An upward trend in DOM tends to indicate a move towards a buyer’s market, a downward trend tends to indicate a move towards seller’s market. The DOM for February 2026 was 95 days, up 69.64% from 56 days from the previous month and 206.45% higher than 31 days from February 2025. The February 2026 DOM was at its highest level compared with February 2025 and 2024.
Average Sales Price per Square Foot
The average sales price per square foot is a more normalized indicator for the direction of property value. The sales price per square foot in February 2026 was $776, equal to the previous month and -14.73% lower than $910 from February 2025.
Inventory & MSI
The number of properties for sale in February 2026 was 21, up 40.0% from 15 from the previous month and -16.00% lower than 25 from February 2025. The February 2026 inventory was at its lowest level compared with February 2025 and 2024. A comparatively lower MSI is more beneficial for sellers while a higher MSI is better for buyers. The February 2026 MSI of 10.5 months was at its highest level compared with February 2025 and 2024.
New Listings
The number of new listings in February 2026 was 17, up 54.55% from 11 from the previous month and -15.00% lower than 20 from February 2025. The February 2026 listings were at its lowest level compared to February 2025 and 2024.
Judy Michaelis
Prefer the quick version? Here’s a snapshot of the February 2026 Darien Market Update:
🏠 Prices showing mixed signals — The median sales price reached $2,793,750 in February, up 21.07% from January’s $2,307,500 and 8.81% above February 2025 — its highest February level in 3 years.
⏳ Market slowing sharply — Average DOM jumped to 95 days, up 69.64% from January’s 56 days and a striking 206.45% higher than last February’s 31 days.
📊 Sales volume at historic low — Only 2 homes closed in February, down 80% from January’s 10 and down 66.67% from last February’s 6, the lowest February closing count in 3 years.
📈 Inventory rising, supply tightening at extremes — 21 homes for sale, up 40% from January’s 15 but down 16% from last February’s 25. MSI surged to 10.5 months — a 3-year high — driven by the near-collapse in closings relative to available supply.
What Buyers and Sellers Need to Know
✨ Sellers: When Darien homes do sell, they’re commanding an extraordinary 112.25% of list price — the strongest sale-to-list ratio in 3 years. However, the 95-day average DOM and near-record-low transaction volume signal that the market is highly selective; precise pricing and strong presentation are critical.
🔍 Buyers: Rising MSI at 10.5 months and low transaction activity give you more time and leverage than in recent years. Price per square foot is down 14.73% year-over-year to $776, presenting a meaningful value opportunity in this ultra-luxury market.
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